Wednesday, June 24, 2009

Can't have your cake and eat it too in export dependent economies

"Live by the sword, die by the sword" prevails as a prominent theme throughout the recent financial crisises. China has its part to blame in fattening the US economy by providing cheap exports and fueling their consumption binge.


No one should really depend on China to bring their economies back from the brink. China's prosperity depends in large part on the US prosperity. Their whole financial system is basically built on exporting everything they possibly can to the US. So whoever would depend on China utlimately also depend on the US. I can think of several southeast asian countries that fit the mould.

The countries which piggy back on others through exports enjoyed some fantastic propserity will also share some fantastic pains during this global recession. Those countries will never be decoupled from global growth as long as exports make up a large portion of their gdp.


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