Wednesday, May 26, 2010

To buy or not to buy, Malaysian stocks

The market is around 1250 right now. I'm not a buyer at this time. Lets see where the next month goes. My feeling is three part-

ONE. Liquidity is still there, so eventually prices will run up in the longer run. Bailouts will keep coming, the second wave of housing problems are starting to hit (hence second round of Quantitative easing), the Euro is facing just the beginning of their member states' problems, and the US will likely need to bailout their states that overspent.

TWO. We will have had only the first negative month. Perhaps it will subside to the upside the next month, but maybe not if momentum players have anything to say about it.

THREE. Equities may not go up forever. They are capped by economic growth, dividends payouts, and input costs. The things that can go up, however are bond yields as investor concerns over the "stealth default" through inflation, and commodities as more money chases fewer goods.

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